“Know what’s weird? Day by day, nothing seems to change, but pretty soon … everything’s different.” — Calvin from Calvin and Hobbes (by Bill Watterson)
This quote from a cartoon hero who uses his overactive imagination to both entertain us and teach us valuable lessons about life represents a perfect summary of my thoughts about the future of the talent assessment industry.
To see the future, we have to be willing to take a good long look at what is happening in the talent acquisition world within the context of bigger picture trends. The mega trends that are shaping the future of how people do things on a global basis (i.e., empowerment via access to information, exponential growth in connectivity, ability to crunch and interpret staggering amounts of data, using collective intelligence to find truth) are all quietly at work setting the stage for major change in our industry.
2014 will provide tangible evidence of the emergence of “Handler’s Law” which states that:
“As time goes on, advances in science and technology will allow talent assessments to become increasingly more effective, and the more effective talent assessments become, the less anyone will notice them.”
The days of lengthy test forms with obtuse and redundant questions are coming to a close.
As 2014 unfolds, the following trends will continuing to our progress toward Handler’s Law becoming reality.
This year we will continue to see evidence of a tangible shift in how assessments look and feel. This is a critical evolutionary step as the dinosaurs of employment testing slowly begin to be replaced by more evolved tools. The pressure driving this evolution will be applied by candidates who expect that applying for a job should be a two-way conversation that is engaging and informative from start to finish.
Browsing the content on ERE.net from the past 12 months provides evidence that a major shift toward the empowerment of job applicants is underway. The common themes emerging center around the fact that people have access to unprecedented amounts of information, and information is power. Job applicants are people too and they are now deeply connected both to each other and to unprecedented amounts of information. Candidates will increasingly be empowered to believe that collectively their voice can force change. This empowerment is creating the following pressures on employers (and thus test providers):
There are a number of companies offering fresh and engaging products that are redefining the assessment marketplace in 2014.
Job boards as we know them are on the way out. Soon almost all matching of job seekers to job openings will begin outside the formal hiring process and will be based on membership in communities where verifiable personal information will be housed. Resumes are not dead; instead, they are being redefined as dynamic, living profiles that will support matching based on verifiable information such as credentials and accomplishments.
Assessment data will be a part of this picture. The insight it provides about an individual’s traits and competencies, when combined with other more objective information about an individual, will help “direct traffic” above the funnel. Better routing of people to jobs will require both quality psychological measurement (via assessment) and artificial intelligence. The result of the combination of these two elements will be good matching at the sourcing level, increasing both the efficiency and effectiveness of the hiring process. Better sourcing supports the ability to make better hires. It’s as simple as understanding the laws of basic probability.
If you don’t believe that the way people find jobs is undergoing a fundamental change and that assessment will be a key part of it, just take a look at emerging communities being built by companies such as eHarmony, Good.co, Brave New Talent, and Youscience. The venues these companies are creating will all use assessment data as a key cog in matching people to opportunities that are meaningful and relevant.
These venues will mark the emergence of a trend I call “long tail recruiting,” which simply describes a process by which individuals and organizations engage in a more ongoing and dynamic dialogue as a result of their ability to connect to one another within or even across communities. Long tail recruiting happens as a natural part of engagement within social communities. As information and communication flows, employers and job seekers get to know one another based on common interests. Eventually, when there is alignment between the career goals of a member and the business need of a company, a transaction (i.e., hire) will occur. Such transactions are only one benefit of belonging to the community and may occur multiple times over the course of an individual’s career path and/or a company’s growth.
Beyond the momentum created by the above trends, there are two key reasons why talent assessment’s star is rising fast:
The continued evolution of analytics and big data will provide ongoing proof of the value of assessments. While “big data” may seem like a fad, we are really just getting started understanding the truths that data can provide. The care and grooming of data is becoming a business priority. I am talking to an increasing number of companies building out internal data and analytics centers within their HR functions. When it comes to assessment, this trend is a godsend because it will provide raw material that is foundational to linkages between people and business outcomes. The more the connection between assessments and business data becomes a given amongst HR and business leaders, the more popular assessment will become.
2014 will continue to see traditional pricing models for assessment being turned on their ear. The days of per-test pricing models are fading fast as testing increasingly becomes sold similarly to software. Marketplace consolidation will continue to see large and diversified companies offering assessments at a very low price point, or even as a free value-add to other enterprise software. Additionally, intense competition in the marketplace will continue to drive down prices. As time goes on, assessment companies will need to prove themselves as business partners in order to support their abilities to charge above market rates.
In conclusion, the assessment market is ripe for disruption, and as 2014 unfolds, expect to see more direct signs of a changing of the guard. The pressure to provide value to both business leaders and job seekers will force assessment providers to adapt or die.
