Disruption is what happens when someone figures out a new way to arrive at the conclusion you get to the old way. In pure technical environments, disruption happens when a cheaper, divergent technology replaces a standard. Generally speaking, the new way replaces the old quickly. The dominant players of the old school are left on... [full article »]
John Sumser
Articles by John Sumser...
Five Scenarios IX: Opportunities
I’m looking forward to the conversation in San Diego at ERE. (There’s still time to register if you hurry). With any luck, we’ll do something really interesting. I hope that the articles to date will provide a framework for discussion and brainstorming. The session is at 3:15 on Wednesday the 17th. I’m interested in seeing... [full article »]
Five Scenarios for the Future of Recruiting VIII: The Games
Up at 6am. 15 points. Hit the snoozebar once. Minus 5 points. Brush your teeth for three full minutes. 50 points (with a bonus from the toothpaste maker). Right-sized healthy breakfast. 25 points. Arrive at work on time. 25 points. Attend all meetings on time. 75 points. Make meeting contributions recognized by peers. 100 points.... [full article »]
Five Scenarios for the Future of Recruiting VII: The Pandemic
For a nice overview of the scenario planning process and this project, take a listen to this podcast. Then, brace yourself. This scenario is somewhat disturbing. The Pandemic In the beginning, they thought it was the flu. As the school year started, complaints of fever and respiratory problems stretched the capacity of the health care... [full article »]
Five Scenarios for the Future of Recruiting 6: Invasion of the Shallybots
I spent an hour on the phone yesterday with yet another entrepreneur who imagined that the future revolved around the “eHarmony for Jobs.”(The idea was tired a couple of years ago.) I regaled him with stories of Intellimatch, itzBig, JobFox, and 40 other matching services. They all planned to use structured profiles and assessment tests... [full article »]
Five Recruiting Scenarios 5: Guild Cities
Across the globe, people are moving to the city. 2009 marked the first time in human history that more people lived in the city than on the farm. We inhabit an increasingly urban planet. One of the most interesting features of those cities is that they are increasingly organized by profession. Silicon Valley for software... [full article »]
Five Recruiting Scenarios 4: The Future Matters
Recruiting and HR will not evolve independently of global events and pressures. Geopolitical issues, energy, global warming, rapid industrialization, demographics, immigration, and the constant invention of new jobs and disciplines will always drive the day-to-day realities of recruiting and HR. A key driver of the evolution of recruiting and HR is the amount of growth... [full article »]
Five Scenarios 3: The Marketplace
When change comes to recruiting, it comes in a variety of forms. In the search for the candidate who will deliver the best value for the money, companies are continuously innovating and seeking competitive advantage in the employment marketplace. Trends, fads, and idiosyncratic procedures are commonplace. Again, change comes in a variety of forms: New... [full article »]
Five Scenarios 2: Trends
Precise forecasts are always wrong. The old line, often attributed to Eisenhower, is “The plan is nothing, the plan is everything.” That means that the plan will always fail in the field. But, the planning process is the only way to come close to guaranteeing preparedness. Planning is essential. Believing the plan is folly. That’s... [full article »]
Five Scenarios for the Future of Recruiting
It’s an interesting time to ponder the future of recruiting. You can imagine Chicken Little running around crying “The sky is falling. The sky is falling.” The profession is 30% to 50% smaller than it was 18 months ago. Many more HR generalists are filling the recruiting role. Technology is changing rapidly. A new generation... [full article »]