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March Has Smallest Job Gain in More Than a Year

by Apr 3, 2015, 9:54 am ET

Econ data March 2015U.S. employers slowed hiring in March to the smallest gains since December 2013, adding a mere 126,000 jobs, far below the 245,000-250,000 predicted by labor economists. The unemployment rate was unchanged at 5.5 percent. keep reading…

Economists Wonder: Is Job Growth Slowing?

by Apr 1, 2015, 1:49 pm ET

ADP march 2015Is job growth slowing? Economists are asking that question after ADP’s monthly National Employment Report this morning said that 189,000 private sector jobs were created in March, the smallest increase since January 2014.

“There are some good reasons to think that the job growth has slowed, that we’re not going to see monthly job gains of 300,000 for a while,” Mark Zandi, chief economist of Moody’s Analytics, said after the report was released. Moody’s prepares the report in partnership with ADP.

Economists were expecting the report to show about 225,000 new private sector jobs last month, which would have been only somewhat of an improvement over February’s 214,000 new jobs, revised up slightly from an initial 212,000. keep reading…

February Job Boom Adds 295K While Unemployment Drops to 5.5%

by Mar 6, 2015, 9:51 am ET

Econ indices Feb. 2015Ignoring predictions of a February hiring slowdown, U.S. employers added a robust 295,000 new workers to their payrolls, bringing down the unemployment rate to 5.5 percent. Most sectors added jobs, with the biggest gains coming in health, and bars and restaurants.

February’s job numbers released this morning by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics defied economists’ predictions that February’s brutal weather would depress hiring. They called for hiring in a range of 230,000 to 240,000 and a reduction in unemployment from January’s 5.7 percent to 5.6 percent.

The weather, however, had little effect. The construction industry continued to hire in February, adding 29,000 workers. Retailers, who had complained that record snow and cold was keeping shoppers at home, added 32,000 jobs. Auto dealers, clothing stores, specialty shops, and home improvement centers all hired workers. keep reading…

ADP Report: Private Employers Added 212K Jobs in February

by Mar 4, 2015, 1:34 pm ET

ADP Feb 2015Whether it was the brutal weather, fewer work days, or other causes, private employers added the fewest new jobs in February since last May. ADP’s National Employment report said private employer payrolls grew by 212,000 last month, a decrease of 38,000 from January’s revised numbers.

The count was smaller than economists were expecting. A Reuters survey put their average forecast at 220,000 jobs. The Wall Street Journal‘s survey put the forecast at 215,000.

“While February’s job gains came in slightly lower than recent months, the trend of solid growth above 200,000 jobs per month continued,” said Carlos Rodriguez, president and chief executive officer of ADP. keep reading…

Jobs, Wages Up More Than Expected in January

by Feb 6, 2015, 9:44 am ET

Econ data Jan 2015Taking a breather from the torrid pace of hiring in November and December, which added three-quarters of a million jobs to the economy, employers created 257,000 new jobs in January, exceeding economists’ predictions the number would be closer to 230,000.

The U.S. Labor Department’s monthly Employment Situation report this morning also said unemployment rose slightly to 5.7 percent from 5.6 percent as more workers opted to join the labor force. In addition, average hourly wages increased by 12 cents, the largest gain in months. Wage growth has been stagnant, hovering around 2 percent annually since the end of the recession.

“It’s a great report. The labor force finally goes up, we got a little wage growth, a lot of upward revisions,” said Ed Keon, managing director and portfolio manager for Prudential Financial. “We’re finally getting enough internal momentum that we can stay at that roughly 3 percent (gross domestic product) growth rate, maybe even a little higher as we go through the year.” keep reading…

Energy Industry Slowdown Dampens January Hiring

by Feb 4, 2015, 12:11 pm ET

ADP Report 1.2015After adding a hefty 253,000 jobs in December, private employers slowed their hiring in the first month of the year, adding an estimated 213,000 jobs in January.

The National Employment Report from HR services company ADP and its partner Moody’s Analytics was below consensus forecasts from economists who had pegged the increase between 220,000 and 240,000. The report also revised up the initial December count from 241,000 to 253,000.

Mark Zandi, chief economists for Moody’s, blamed cuts in the energy industry for the slower-than-expected growth. keep reading…

Employers Forecast to Increase Use of Temp Agencies By 10.5%

by Jan 26, 2015, 2:20 pm ET

Palmer 2015Staffing agency employment has been among the fastest-growing sectors of the U.S. economy for the last several years. Since the recession’s official end in June 2009, the industry has added 1.24 million new jobs, 12.3 percent of all new private sector jobs created.

Now comes a prediction from the staffing and human capital consulting firm of G. Palmer and Associates that temp employment will grow 10.5 percent this quarter over last year. That translates into about 135,000 new staffing agency jobs.

“Our forecast for the 2015 first quarter follows recent trends demonstrating growth and indicating another increase in demand for temporary workers, marking the 20th consecutive quarter of year-over-year increases,” said Greg Palmer, founder and managing director of the consultancy. keep reading…

Year Ends With Strong Jobs Growth But Economists Worry About Pay

by Jan 9, 2015, 9:46 am ET

Econ indices Dec 2014Capping the end of the strongest 12 months of U.S. job growth since well before the recession, employers added 252,000 jobs in December as the unemployment rate fell to 5.6 percent, its lowest level since June 2008.

Economists had expected a strong year-end jobs report from the U.S. Labor Department, but were predicting growth closer to about 240,000 jobs and only a slight change in November’s 5.8 percent unemployment rate.

“The economy has some momentum,” Robert Shapiro, chairman of Sonecon, an economic consultancy, told The New York Times before this morning’s report was released. “I think it’s kind of hit a stride with respect to job creation.” keep reading…

2014 Ends With Strong Job Growth as Private Sector Adds 241k Jobs

by Jan 7, 2015, 12:58 pm ET

Total-Nonfarm-Private-Employment-by-Company-Size-December-20142014 ended on a strong note with private employers in the U.S. adding 241,000 new jobs. It’s the fourth consecutive month that ADP’s National Employment Report showed job growth over 200,000 and was well above the 225,000 jobs forecast by economists.

“The job market continues to power forward,” said Mark Zandi, chief economist of Moody’s Analytics which compiles ADP’s payroll data. “At the current pace of job growth, the economy will be back to full employment by this time next year.” keep reading…

The Labor Market’s Better, But Not Yet Out of the Woods

by Jan 2, 2015, 5:07 am ET
Screen Shot 2014-12-29 at 1.08.56 PM

U.S. unemployment rate, seasonally adjusted, November 2012 – November 2014

After years of sluggish and uneven employment growth, 2014 marked a crucial year in the U.S. economy. Hiring has quickened its pace enough to help shift the balance of power in the job search from the employer to the job seeker. A look back at developments in the labor market in 2014 may help recruiters to understand what they can expect in the coming year, and what can be done to prepare for 2015.   keep reading…

November Surprise: 321k Jobs and Higher Pay

by Dec 5, 2014, 9:41 am ET

Econ Index Nov 2014Economists were expecting November’s job growth to be about average, right around 220,000. Instead, the U.S. Labor Department this morning said employers added 321,000 jobs last month, the most in almost three years.

To add to the robust report, the government adjusted upward its initial numbers for September and October by 44,000 jobs. Together with November, the U.S. economy has averaged 241,000 new jobs each month this year. In 2013 the average for the 11 months was 204,000 and in 2012 it was 184,000.

The unemployment rate was unchanged at 5.8 percent. A year ago the rate was 7 percent. keep reading…

November’s 208K New Jobs to Put Pressure on Wages

by Dec 3, 2014, 12:54 pm ET

ADP Nov infographicPrivate sector employers added 208,000 jobs in November, the seventh time this year that job growth has topped 200,000.

The report from HR services and payroll process ADP says that every one of the broad industry groups it tracks added jobs, with small businesses growing the fastest. Businesses with fewer than 50 employees created 101,000 new jobs. Employers with more than 500 workers contributed 42,000 new jobs.

“November continued to show solid job growth above 200,000,” said Carlos Rodriguez, ADP president and CEO. “Small businesses continued to drive job gains adding almost half the total for the month.”

Economists, however, were forecasting even stronger growth. Surveys put their expectations at an average of about 220,000 for the month. Bloomberg’s survey of 47 economists had predictions ranging from as little as 190,000 to as much as 262,000, with the average at 222,000. keep reading…

Fed Bank Says Worker Shortages Putting Pressure On Pay

by Oct 16, 2014, 6:40 pm ET

Reports from the Federal Reserve say shortages of skilled workers in a variety of trades are showing up here and there across the U.S., putting upward pressure on pay.

Employers are having to pay more to attract workers in construction and manufacturing in several parts of the U.S. In parts of the Midwest, mid-Atlantic region, and the Northern Plains states, transportation workers are seeing somewhat higher pay. And in New York the number of workers quitting to take higher paying jobs is on the rise.

That shortages of some professionals exist is nothing new. Last week Dice reported that unemployment among tech professionals had fallen to an average 2.7 percent in the third quarter. And SHRM’s LINE Report for October said its measure of recruiting difficulty has been going up for seven months straight.

But the Fed’s October 15th “Beige Book” notes that “Most Districts reported that some employers had difficulty finding qualified workers for certain positions.” (The nation is divided into 12 federal reserve districts.) keep reading…

Time to Fill Lengthens Again

by Oct 9, 2014, 5:16 am ET

Avg time to fill Aug 2014On the heels of a survey finding that a quarter of all employers plan to add temporary staff this quarter comes a forecast that temp agency staffing will increase 8.7 percent over last year.

Temp industry consultant G. Palmer & Associates says temp employment will average 2.978 million workers in the fourth quarter. For the last quarter of 2013, the average was 2.739 million. As of September, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reports temp agencies employed a record 2.934 million workers.

“Our forecast for the 2014 fourth quarter follows recent trends, demonstrating growth and indicating another increase in demand for temporary workers, marking the 19th consecutive quarter of year-over-year increases,” says Greg Palmer, founder and managing director of the Newport Beach, California human capital advisory firm.

“The data is also showing that with the advent of lower unemployment rates, labor is tightening, wages in certain categories are increasing, and temp help as a percentage of new job growth is beginning to tapper off,” he adds. keep reading…

As More Employers Plan Hires, Recruiting Workers Will Get Harder Still

by Oct 8, 2014, 12:28 am ET

Hiring plan chart 2014In what could be the strongest finish since before the recession, an increasing number of employers say they intend to hire full-time permanent workers this quarter.

CareerBuilder’s quarterly survey of employers found 29 percent of them expect to add permanent headcount before the end of 2014, an increase of four percentage points over those saying that last year.

While hiring expectations don’t necessarily translate into action, so far this year more employers have ended up hiring more workers than they told CareerBuilder they planned.

The survey doesn’t say how large the headcount will grow, but numbers from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics show 2014 is on track to add more workers to the nation’s payrolls than at any time in a decade. Since January, employers have averaged 227,000 new jobs each month. For the same period last year, the average was 193,000. keep reading…

September Adds 248K New Jobs as Unemployment Dips to 6-Year Low

by Oct 3, 2014, 9:43 am ET

Econ Index Sept 2014Propelled by strong hiring across a range of occupations and industries, September saw 248,000 new jobs added to the economy, which helped drive down unemployment to a six year low of 5.9 percent.

The monthly jobs report from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics also adjusted upward its count of hiring in August and July, increasing both by a combined 69,000 jobs. August’s initial anemic 142,000 estimate, which surprised analysts and prompted worrying about a hiring pause, was upped to 180,000.

Today’s announcement was a more pleasant surprise. keep reading…

Encouraging ADP Report May Foreshadow Strong Government Numbers

by Oct 1, 2014, 12:10 pm ET

ADP comparison change for Sept 2014With the announcement this morning that September’s private company payrolls grew by 213,000, economists are optimistic it foreshadows an even-more-robust government report due Friday. keep reading…

Your Best Candidates Might Be Searching for Part-time Jobs

by Sep 12, 2014, 12:49 am ET

Charlotte trainLooking for STEM talent? Struggling with a skills gap? Your best candidates might be searching for part-time jobs.

You see, popular coverage of the role of part-time jobs in the economy often attributes the rise of these positions to employers who have turned some full-time jobs into part-time ones. While there are 7.5 million Americans working part time for economic reasons (they’d like to work more hours but can’t find a full-time job), there are millions of others who are actively interested in more flexible work options or reduced hours — and this interest isn’t isolated to low-skilled workers. keep reading…

August’s 142,000 Jobs Is Weakest Growth This Year

by Sep 5, 2014, 9:42 am ET

Econ indicators Aug 2014 v2Even taking into account the usual summer hiring slowdown, this morning’s jobs report from the U.S. Labor Department can only be called surprising. The Department’s Bureau of Labor Statistics said 142,000 new jobs were created in August, a number far off the 220,000 to 230,000 economists forecast. Unemployment inched down to 6.1 percent from 6.2 percent.

It was the smallest increase yet this year, and follows six months of gains over 200,000 jobs each. Going into August, the monthly average gain in new jobs was 230,000.

Yesterday’s private sector jobs report from ADP and Moody Analytics foreshadowed a lower August job growth when it came in at 204,000, which was also below expectations. Few, though, expected so big a decline, which was also accompanied by a net downward revision of June and July’s numbers of 28,000.

The slight decline in the unemployment rate came from fewer working-age Americans participating in the labor force. The participation rate in August dropped back to 62.8 percent from 62.9 percent, hovering near historic lows. keep reading…

August Job Growth Slows; Just a Summer Dip?

by Sep 4, 2014, 1:12 pm ET

Econ indicators Aug 2014 v1The hand-wringing over today’s ADP private employment report should not be taken as evidence of any kind of sudden reversal of hiring.

The 204,000 private sector jobs ADP and its forecasting partner, Moody’s Analytics, said were created in August demonstrates that the hiring surge of the last several months still has legs. That the number was less than the 215,000-220,000 jobs economists expected and the lowest count since March, may be disappointing, but the August dip is familiar to any recruiter with more than a few years experience.

Hiring historically slows in August and again around the end-of-the-year holidays. Last year, ADP reported 296,900 new jobs in June and 212,400 in July. In August, the job creation count dropped to 190,200. It was back up in September to 215,000. keep reading…