Hey,
2006 isn’t over yet! We’ve still got 7 weeks to go but the holidays are upon us
and I wanted to wrap this up so I can get started on my predictions for 2007.
Most pundits won’t review their predictions. They’ll talk about the ones they
got right but rarely the ones they got wrong. I’m going to talk about them all.
You can
read my original post here.
2006
Prediction #1
Corporations
will rely increasingly on in-house, professional corporate recruiters to fill
the majority of their positions.
TRUE
Have
you tried to hire a corporate recruiter lately? They are hard to find. All the
good ones are working. Rates have increased. Everyone is busy.
2006
Prediction #2
Monster will continue to dominate the
classic job board market.
FALSE
It
seems that CareerBuilder had made major inroads into Monster’s dominance. By
some measures CareerBuilder now dominates. I never saw the gorilla beating up
on the monster coming.
2006
Prediction #3
Web
search for candidates will continue to be the domain of specialist recruiters
working for leading technology companies. Most companies will ignore this
resource.
TRUE
Notwithstanding
the constant promotion by Shally Steckerl and his cohorts, these specialist
recruiters, who are now more commonly known as sourcers, are still mostly
ignored. However those companies who use this resource are producing
outstanding results.
2006
Prediction #4
Instant
messaging will continue to grow in use, especially for college recruitment
and entry level positions.
TRUE
Hey, I
didn’t say there would be substantial growth but IM use has increased.
2006
Prediction #5
Corporate
blogs will have only moderate
acceptance by HR leadership but will be a useful tool for leading recruiters.
TRUE
It’s
still early days for acceptance by HR leadership but the blogosphere has
exploded this year. Many leading recruiters read blogs first and other
information sources second.
2006
Prediction #6
Applicant
tracking systems will look much the same as they do now. Only incremental
advances are anticipated.
TRUE
No
earth shattering developments in functionality this year.
2006
Prediction #7
Newspaper
advertising for open positions will continue to decline.
TRUE
Not
dead yet…
2006
Prediction #8
Recruitment
wikis will get started. HR leadership won’t know what a wiki is.
TRUE
Not
much has been written this year about the use of wikis for recruitment. One of
my consulting clients established a corporate wiki that included recruitment.
However, while it uses wiki technology it isn’t really a wiki since large
sections are locked down and cannot be edited by any user. Nice try though!
2006
Prediction #9
C-level
folks will increase their demand for meaningful metrics from HR leadership.
Recruiter activity and results will be increasingly measured. The best
recruiters already measure their performance and won’t notice much difference.
TRUE
The
demand is increasing and some are satisfying that demand.
2006
Prediction #10
The
demand for qualified talent will continue to grow and quality recruitment
industry suppliers will prosper.
TRUE
It’s
been a great year for most hasn’t it?
9 TRUE
1 FALSE. Not bad!
As
always, your comments are welcome and appreciated.
See my
Recruitment Predictions for 2007 sometime in January ’07.