...and on the subject of bad news: the WSJ is reporting (registration required) that temporary employment has fallen for each of the last six months.
From the article:
Businesses generally are believed to dismiss temps
before cutting their permanent workers. While temporary-staffing firms
sense more caution from clients, they note the shift isn't severe.
"It's sluggish. We're not hearing from people that the slowdown is
going to be so acute that it could be a precursor to a recession," said
Richard Wahlquist, president of the American Staffing Association, a
trade group.
"I am really not concerned at this point," said
Charles Sigrist, president and chief executive officer of Stivers
Staffing Services Inc., a Chicago-based firm with 30 offices, including
one in Pittsburgh where Mr. Trimmer has been working. Business was flat
during the summer but, he says, "I don't think we're in a situation
like we were in [the recessions of] 1981, 1991 and 2001," Mr. Sigrist
said. "It's too early to say that."
The temp sector took off in the 1990s as companies
sought to expand in a tight labor market without committing themselves
to full-time, often tenured employees with full benefits. Temp
employment ballooned from 1.2 million jobs at the start of the 1990s to
almost 2.7 million in April 2000, before pulling back in the recession
of 2001.
It surged and then hit a plateau at the end of 2005,
according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. At last count, 2.6 million
workers -- about 2% of the total work force outside farming -- are in
temp jobs.
As Mr. Sigrist says, it's too early to definitively say that the recruiting business is heading into tough times (again), but these are the warning signs to which we need to pay attention.
The recruiting business is going to see amazing growth in the long term, but that doesn't mean that we won't see some painful contractions along the way.
So...
How's business?
Do you have a / what is your plan for handling an employment recession?
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comments
New Golden Age of Recruiting
posted 8/30/2007 at 9:37 a.m. PT by Martin Snyder
Biz in the third-party space has never been stronger. 2005-2007 are often being described by customers and prospects as the best years in the history of the business. Thats all good, but clearly there will be dips and valleys, esp. if we are near a peak.
The credit crunch and higher volatility in the markets has already caused some pullback, but things are still good by the numbers.
Recession may be inevitable but this time there may be a greater number of niches in the talent market that wont be impacted highly by the business cycle- segments responding to their own pressures of supply and demand due to demographics, globalization, and education costs.
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