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Signs Point to Slower Hiring, as May Numbers Disappoint
Posted By John Zappe On May 31, 2012 @ 4:33 pm In News and Features | 3 Comments
[1]This morning’s jobs report from ADP [2] is prompting worries that hiring may be slowing, damping hopes that the anemic recovery may be hitting a rough spot, if not stalling.
ADP, which processes payrolls for some 500,000 U.S. firms, said private employment grew by 133,000 jobs in May. The company, and its analytics partner, Macroeconomic Advisers, also adjusted down by 6,000 its initial 119,000 April job estimate.
Economists surveyed by Bloomberg News [3] were expecting the May ADP report to show about 150,000 new jobs. Bloomberg also said the expectation is for the official Labor Department report to show 160,000 new jobs during the month. That report is scheduled to be released tomorrow morning.
“While May’s increase was the 28th consecutive monthly advance, it nonetheless reflected a notable slowdown in the recent pace of hiring,” said Joel Prakken, chairman of Macroeconomic Advisers [2].
Nearly all the new jobs came from the service sector, with small and medium companies in the sector — those with fewer than 500 employees — creating all but 15,000. Manufacturing, which had been growing until April, when it lost 6,000 jobs, lost 2,000 more, according to the ADP report.
Other reports also point toward softening growth.
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[1] Image: http://www.ere.net/wp-content/uploads/2010/01/ADP-Employment-report.jpg
[2] This morning’s jobs report from ADP: http://www.adpemploymentreport.com/pdf/FINAL_Release_May_12.pdf
[3] Economists surveyed by Bloomberg News: http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/g/a/2012/05/31/bloomberg_articlesM4VZE21A1I4H01-M4W14.DTL
[4] Initial claims for unemployment benefits: http://www.dol.gov/opa/media/press/eta/ui/current.htm
[5] The Commerce Department adjusted down its estimate of 1st quarter growth.: http://www.bea.gov/newsreleases/national/gdp/gdpnewsrelease.htm
[6] SHRM’s LINE (Leading Indicators of National Employment): http://www.shrm.org/Research/MonthlyEmploymentIndices/line/Pages/default.aspx
[7] Help Wanted On-Line data: http://www.conference-board.org/data/helpwantedonline.cfm
[8] The Conference Board’s index : http://www.conference-board.org/data/consumerconfidence.cfm
[9] The Associated Press says: http://www2.wsav.com/news/2012/may/31/us-economy-appears-weaker-ahead-of-jobs-report-ar-3891315/
[10] Business Insider: http://www.businessinsider.com/11-top-economists-forecast-tomorrows-nfp-number-2012-5?op=1
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