Register early and save on ERE Expo 2010 Spring in San Diego from March 15-17.

Economists Becoming More Optimistic On Jobs

by
John Zappe
Nov 23, 2009, 2:47 pm ET

American businesses will stop shedding jobs by the end of March, says a new report from the National Association of Business Economists.

The organization’s latest outlook is even more hopeful than the one issued just a month ago. Today’s report says that the U.S. economy will grow at an annual 3.2 percent GDP, half a point higher than the NABE’s October forecast.

The economists say the recovery will be lead by theĀ  housing turnaround already underway, which will gain momentum next year, and by business investment in equipment, software, and inventories.

“While the recovery has been jobless so far, that should soon change,” said NABE President Lynn Reaser, chief economist at Point Loma Nazarene University. “Within the next few months, companies should be adding instead of cutting jobs.”

Consumers, however, are unlikely to open their wallets anytime soon. The 48 economists participating in the survey expect “lackluster consumer spending gains over the coming year.” Instead, consumers will continue saving, averaging 4 percent during 2010.

The unemployment rate, now at 10.2 percent, is expected to hover there through the first half of next year, declining only slightly — to 9.6 percent — by year’s end. The report said that next to the size of the federal deficit, unemployment over the next five years was the biggest concern of the economists on the survey panel.

This article is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to offer specific legal advice. You should consult your legal counsel regarding any threatened or pending litigation.

  1. Howard Adamsky

    Are the unemployed economists optimistic as well? Just wondering.

  2. David Manaster

    I’m starting to feel pretty hopeful about next year myself.

    On a slightly less optimistic note, GDP was revised down today from 3.5% to 2.8% last quarter, so it’s not over yet!

  3. Steve Levy

    David, from the same article you linked to: “…it’s not really clear that GDP accurately reflects the state of the economy.” Economic analysis is based on assumptions not 100% facts; have to be careful when quoting preliminary data to an audience who likes to take the written word as the Gospel. ;)

Post a comment

Please log in to post a comment.

Note: You need to sign up for an account on our new commenting system if you haven't already done so — even if you have an existing ERE account. Find out why »

Login Information